Markets

Trend and risk across major markets

Each row represents a market segment using a related ETF. As of 2026-10-02.

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Trend
Current price above 0–3 of its 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages.
3/3 Strong · 2/3 Positive · 1/3 Weak · 0/3 Negative
Stretch
Distance from its recent average, normalised by the exposure’s own weekly volatility.
e.g. +2.1σ — extension, not a buy or sell signal
Relative (1Y)
One-year return minus the benchmark for its market group.
A one-year difference in percentage points
Risk
Recent 3-month realised volatility relative to the exposure’s trailing 1-year volatility.
Low · Normal · Elevated
From 52w high
Current price decline from its 52-week high.
US Equity· Benchmark: IVV
ExposureProxyTrendStretchRelative (1Y)vs group benchmarkRiskFrom 52w high
US Large CapIVVStrong· 3 / 3+1.3σ+0.0Low-0.6%
US Mid CapIJHWeak· 1 / 3+0.5σ-3.9Low-6.4%
US Small CapIJRWeak· 1 / 3+0.6σ+0.8Low-7.6%
US Large GrowthIVWStrong· 3 / 3+1.2σ+3.0Normal0.0%
US Large ValueIVEWeak· 1 / 3+0.9σ-4.1Low-3.2%
US QualityQUALStrong· 3 / 3+1.4σ-0.0Low-0.4%
US MomentumMTUMStrong· 3 / 3+1.4σ+10.0Normal-4.4%
US Minimum VolatilityUSMVPositive· 2 / 3+0.7σ-12.2Normal-3.2%
US Large Cap Equal WeightRSPWeak· 1 / 3+0.7σ-4.7Low-5.5%
US Sectors· Benchmark: IVV
ExposureProxyTrendStretchRelative (1Y)vs group benchmarkRiskFrom 52w high
TechnologyXLKStrong· 3 / 3+1.8σ+26.2Normal0.0%
FinancialsXLFWeak· 1 / 3+0.1σ-17.1Low-8.0%
Health CareXLVPositive· 2 / 3+0.8σ+6.6Normal-4.8%
Consumer DiscretionaryXLYNegative· 0 / 3-0.5σ-25.3Normal-11.2%
Communication ServicesXLCNegative· 0 / 3-0.3σ-23.1Normal-7.3%
IndustrialsXLINegative· 0 / 3+0.1σ-5.3Normal-8.9%
Consumer StaplesXLPNegative· 0 / 3-0.2σ-12.2Low-9.4%
EnergyXLEStrong· 3 / 3+1.3σ+22.8Normal-3.0%
UtilitiesXLUNegative· 0 / 3-1.0σ-24.0Normal-15.4%
Real EstateXLRENegative· 0 / 3-0.3σ-16.8Low-10.4%
MaterialsXLBNegative· 0 / 3-0.0σ-6.2Normal-8.7%
Size & Style· No benchmark
ExposureProxyTrendStretchRelative (1Y)vs group benchmarkRiskFrom 52w high
Mid ValueIJJNegative· 0 / 3+0.2σ—Low-7.0%
Mid GrowthIJKWeak· 1 / 3+0.7σ—Normal-5.9%
Small ValueIJSWeak· 1 / 3+0.6σ—Low-6.9%
Small GrowthIJTWeak· 1 / 3+0.6σ—Low-8.2%
International Equity· Benchmark: IVV
ExposureProxyTrendStretchRelative (1Y)vs group benchmarkRiskFrom 52w high
Developed ex-USEFAWeak· 1 / 3+0.5σ-1.6Low-4.3%
EuropeVGKNegative· 0 / 3+0.2σ-5.2Low-6.8%
JapanEWJStrong· 3 / 3+1.1σ+10.6Normal0.0%
Emerging MarketsEEMStrong· 3 / 3+0.9σ+13.2Low-4.4%
ChinaMCHINegative· 0 / 3-1.1σ-36.5Normal-19.1%
Countries· No benchmark
ExposureProxyTrendStretchRelative (1Y)vs group benchmarkRiskFrom 52w high
United StatesEUSAWeak· 1 / 3+0.7σ—Normal-5.6%
AustraliaEWANegative· 0 / 3+0.2σ—Normal-6.9%
CanadaEWCWeak· 1 / 3+0.6σ—Normal-5.8%
SwedenEWDNegative· 0 / 3+0.1σ—Low-6.8%
GermanyEWGNegative· 0 / 3-0.1σ—Normal-7.4%
Hong KongEWHNegative· 0 / 3-0.3σ—Normal-9.7%
ItalyEWINegative· 0 / 3+0.3σ—Low-9.4%
SwitzerlandEWLNegative· 0 / 3-0.1σ—Normal-8.2%
NetherlandsEWNWeak· 1 / 3+0.8σ—Low-5.2%
SpainEWPWeak· 1 / 3+0.5σ—Normal-7.3%
FranceEWQNegative· 0 / 3-0.5σ—Normal-11.8%
TaiwanEWTStrong· 3 / 3+2.4σ—Normal0.0%
United KingdomEWUNegative· 0 / 3+0.3σ—Low-5.6%
MexicoEWWNegative· 0 / 3-0.2σ—Low-11.2%
South KoreaEWYStrong· 3 / 3+1.2σ—Low-12.5%
BrazilEWZStrong· 3 / 3+0.6σ—Normal-6.7%
South AfricaEZANegative· 0 / 3-0.3σ—Normal-20.9%
IndiaINDANegative· 0 / 3-0.9σ—Low-15.0%
Saudi ArabiaKSANegative· 0 / 3-0.5σ—Low-9.4%
Fixed Income· Benchmark: AGG
ExposureProxyTrendStretchRelative (1Y)vs group benchmarkRiskFrom 52w high
Cash / T-BillsBILStrong· 3 / 3+42.6σ+5.4Normal0.0%
Short TreasurySHYNegative· 0 / 3-0.1σ+3.0Normal-0.9%
Intermediate TreasuryIEFNegative· 0 / 3-1.6σ-1.8Normal-6.7%
Long TreasuryTLTNegative· 0 / 3-1.7σ-7.2Normal-12.4%
US AggregateAGGNegative· 0 / 3-1.3σ+0.0Normal-4.5%
TIPSTIPNegative· 0 / 3-1.6σ-0.4Normal-3.8%
Investment Grade CreditLQDNegative· 0 / 3-1.4σ-2.1Normal-5.9%
High YieldHYGNegative· 0 / 3-0.4σ+2.7Normal-2.6%
EM DebtEMBNegative· 0 / 3-1.0σ+1.2Normal-5.6%
Real Assets· No benchmark
ExposureProxyTrendStretchRelative (1Y)vs group benchmarkRiskFrom 52w high
GoldGLDNegative· 0 / 3-0.5σ—Normal-21.4%
Broad CommoditiesDBCStrong· 3 / 3+1.8σ—Normal-1.9%
REITsVNQNegative· 0 / 3-0.3σ—Low-10.4%
InfrastructureIGFNegative· 0 / 3-0.6σ—Low-9.7%

Trend shows how many of the short-, medium- and long-term moving averages the current price is above — the 50-day, the 100-day and the 200-day. 3/3 is above all three (Strong), 2/3 above two (Positive), 1/3 above one (Weak), 0/3 below all three (Negative). “—” until all three averages exist.

Stretch is how far price sits from its own recent average, measured in standard deviations of that exposure’s weekly moves. Within ±1.5σ is ordinary; beyond ±2.5σ is stretched. Trend is direction; Stretch is extension.

Relative (1Y) is 1-year total return less the 1-year total return of the group’s stated benchmark, in percentage points. A single-window difference, not a relative-strength signal — its 13-week direction is shown alongside. Real assets have no defensible benchmark and read “—”.

Risk compares 3-month realised volatility with the same exposure’s trailing 1-year volatility. Elevated at 1.25× or more, Low below 0.80×. It is a comparison of an exposure with itself, not of one asset class with another. (The 1-year window contains the 3-month one, so the ratio is slightly damped toward Normal.)

From 52w high is the decline from the highest weekly close of the last 52 weeks.

ETF proxies · weekly adjusted closes through 2026-10-02 · intra-week declines are understated.

For educational purposes only. This describes historical market data and does not predict future results. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance does not predict future results. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal.